USD/CAD on track to finish the week at multi-month lows below 1.31
- Crude oil rally helps the loonie gain traction.
- US Dollar Index stays below 96 despite upbeat data.
- Canadian manufacturing sector loses momentum in January.
For the third straight day on Friday, the USD/CAD pair recorded losses and is looking to close the week at its lowest level since early November. As of writing, the pair was down 0.4% on the day at 1.3086.
With the greenback struggling to make a decisive move following a mixed batch of macroeconomic data releases, crude oil prices stayed as the primary driver of the pair's price action. After OPEC announced that the oil output in January fell to its lowest level in two years and the Baker Huges announced that the total number of active oil rigs in the U.S. declined by 15 this week, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate rose to its highest level since November 21 at $55.60 and helped the commodity-sensitive loonie outperform its rivals.
- US: Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 304K in January vs 165K expected.
Earlier in the day, the January employment report from the U.S. showed that despite the government shutdown, nonfarm payrolls in January increased by an impressive 304K. However, the unemployment rate rose 4% in the same period and the average hourly earnings only rose by 0.1% to miss the market expectation of 0.3% to offset the greenback's any potential gains. Since the sharp drop witnessed on Wednesday, the US Dollar Index's recovery attempts remained relatively week and the US Dollar Index is on its way to posting its second weekly drop in a row.
Other data revealed that the business activity in the manufacturing sector in the U.S. expanded at a more robust pace than expected in January while the Canadian manufacturing sector continued to lose momentum.
- US: Markit Manufacturing PMI comes in at 54.9 in January vs 54.5 expected.
- US: ISM Manufacturing PMI improves to 56.6 in January vs 54.2 expected.
- Canada: Markit Manufacturing PMI drops to 53 in January from 53.6 in December.
Key technical levels
USD/CAD
Overview:
Today Last Price: 1.3086
Today Daily change %: -0.40%
Today Daily Open: 1.3139
Trends:
Daily SMA20: 1.3272
Daily SMA50: 1.3377
Daily SMA100: 1.3218
Daily SMA200: 1.3128
Levels:
Previous Daily High: 1.3166
Previous Daily Low: 1.312
Previous Weekly High: 1.3378
Previous Weekly Low: 1.3224
Previous Monthly High: 1.3664
Previous Monthly Low: 1.3118
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.3138
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.3149
Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.3117
Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.3096
Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.3071
Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.3163
Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.3187
Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.3209