GBP/USD could turn back to the 1.2750/1.2800 area – ING

EUR/GBP has edged a little higher in early Europe on the release of UK average earnings data for November. Economists at ING analyze the Pound Sterling (GBO) outlook.

Average earnings weighs on Sterling

UK average earnings for November dipped to a 6.5% 3m/YoY rate – the lowest since last March. We should not get carried away with this data, however, as a more important release for the Bank of England will be the December CPI release on Wednesday.

Look out for testimony from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey today. The BoE is not known for over-communication between meetings, but markets now price 130 bps of BoE easing this year. If there is pushback against that from Governor Bailey, GBP/USD could turn back to the 1.2750/1.2800 area.

Jan 16, 2024

ECB’s Villeroy: Too early to declare victory over inflation

Speaking at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos on Tuesday, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Bank of France President, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, said that it is “too early to declare victory over inflation.” Market reaction EUR/USD is little affected by the above comments, holding lower ground near 1.0910, down 0.32% on the day.

Pound Sterling slides as softening UK wage growth eases inflation outlook

The Pound Sterling (GBP) falls sharply on Tuesday's European morning session as the United Kingdom Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a sharp slowdown in the Average Earnings data for three months ending November.