Back

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs to a six-month highs near $2,015 on the USD weakness, eyes on the US data

  • Gold price surges to a six-month high around $2,015 in the early Tuesday trading session.
  • The October New Home Sales fell by 5.6% MoM to 679k, below the market expectation.
  • The expectation of lower inflation weighs on the USD and increases investors' appetite for commodities.
  • US Housing Price Index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, and CB Consumer Confidence will be due on Tuesday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the rally above the $2,000 key level during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The yellow metal climbs to a six-month high amid the softer US Dollar (USD) and the lower US Treasury bond yields. Gold price currently trades near $2,015, losing 0.01% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) declined to the lowest level since late August around 103.20, which lifts the USD-denominated gold. The Treasury yields edge lower, the 10-year dropping from 4.51% to 4.39%.

That being said, the softer US data dragged the Greenback lower. The US Census Bureau revealed on Monday that the October New Home Sales fell by 5.6% m/m to 679k, below the market consensus of 725K. Additionally, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index for November declined to -19.9 from the previous reading of -19.2.

Furthermore, the expectation of lower inflation weighs on the USD and increases investors' appetite for commodities. Last week, the US PMI data suggested that the private sector in the US continued to grow at a slower pace in early November. The markets place a bet that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the middle of next year.

China will release the NBS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data on Thursday. The Manufacturing and Services PMI figures are expected to improve to 49.6 and 51.1, respectively. If the report shows the weaker-than-expected result, this could exert some selling pressure on the precious metal as China is the world's largest gold producer and consumer

Moving on, gold traders will focus on the US Housing Price Index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, CB Consumer Confidence, and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index on Tuesday. Later this week, the attention will shift to the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Wednesday and the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation figures on Thursday.

 

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Sits above the 200-DMA, eyeing 0.6100

NZD/USD extended its gains to three straight trading days, hitting a three-and-a-half-month high of 0.6107 on Monday.
Read more Previous

Euro Area inflation to return, push out market rate cut expectations in 2024 – SocGen

According to Société Générale, market expectations of rate cuts beginning in the first half of 2024 could be overblown, as core inflation measures within the broader European economy come home to roost with marginally higher inflation that will keep rate cuts from the European Central Bank (ECB) at bay.
Read more Next